Saturday, December 24, 2016
Flying and Other Vehicles
And a great photo showing balloon shadow during landing back in September! Landings are so interesting in part because our descent and horizontal rates, below 1,000 feet, are much like those of an Apollo lunar lander!
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
My Talk at the Tennessee Valley Interstellar Workshop
Friday, December 16, 2016
Chilly Times
Tuesday, December 6, 2016
New Research Brief!
Speaking of flying, lots slated for the next 44 days as I complete training (in Oregon and California) and earn my wings at long last!
Thursday, November 17, 2016
Good Memories!
A memorable, 15-second adventure! Video clip; I start out about just before five minutes in. Today's suits are 1/3 the weight and bulk of that early model, and would be significantly easier in an emergency hatch egress!
Monday, October 31, 2016
Alvord Desert Dawn
More frequent updates at twitter.
Monday, October 24, 2016
Yet Better Progress
Friday, October 21, 2016
Robert Louis Stevenson
Tuesday, October 18, 2016
Tolkien
“It is not our part to master all the tides of the world, but to do what is in us for the succour of those years wherein we are set, uprooting the evil in the fields that we know, so that those who live after may have clean earth to till. What weather they shall have is not ours to rule.” -- J.R.R. Tolkien
Sunday, October 16, 2016
Ray Bradbury
-- Ray Bradbury
Wednesday, October 12, 2016
Convergent Evolution diagram
Sunday, October 9, 2016
Recent Pressure Suit Work
Wednesday, September 14, 2016
Flying in the Alvord Desert!
Wednesday, September 7, 2016
Solo Flight Approved!
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
More Flying!
Friday, August 5, 2016
Flying!
Beautiful weather in Central Oregon, where I also visited my buddy Alexander Knapton at his own flight training facility.
Friday, July 15, 2016
Balloon Inspection -- A-OK!
Monday, July 11, 2016
Plumose Anemone Dive 2016!
I also spent some time in shallower waters, in the sketch below taking time to examine a giant plumose anemone.
Not the greatest scans, but I don't have time to mske better scans at the moment.
Thursday, July 7, 2016
"any legitimate analogy"
“The naturalist and anatomist, in digesting the knowledge which the astronomer has been able to furnish regarding [star and sunlight on other planets] can hardly avoid speculating on [the evolution of the light-sensitive organs such as eyes on other planets]...
[for example]...the laws of light, as of gravitation, being the same in Jupiter as here, the eyes of such creatures as may disport in the soft reflected beams of its moons will probably be organized on the same dioptric principles as those of the animals of a like grade of organization on this earth. And the inference as to the possibility of the vertebrate type being the basis of the organization of some of the inhabitants of other planets will not appear so hazardous, when it is remembered that the orbits or protective cavities of the eyes of the Vertebrata of this planet are constructed of modified vertebræ. Our thoughts are free to soar as far as any legitimate analogy may seen to guide them rightly in the boundless ocean of unknown truth.
And if censure be merited for here indulging, even for a moment, in pure speculation, it may, perhaps, be disarmed by the reflection that the discovery of the vertebrate archetype could not fail to suggest to the Anatomist many possible modifications of it beyond those that we know to have been realized in this little orb of ours.
The inspired Writer, the Poet and the Artist alone have been privileged to depict such.”
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Genetics of Interstellar Migration -- From Science Fiction to Science Fact (as always)
It is quite amazing how, since the first DARPA/NASA interstellar voyaging conference was held (I was happy to be invited to the second conference, in Houston), awareness of exoplanets and the 'interstellar realm' in general have come in science and in the public imagination. I'm thrilled to be contributing in this research field, updating important estimates generated over a generation ago and with quite different overall paradigms regarding ''humans-in-space'', some of which I tackle in my popular-science title, "Emigrating Beyond Earth".
Smith, C.M. 2014. Estimation of a genetically viable population for multigenerational interstellar voyaging: Review and data for project Hyperion. Acta Astronautica Volume 97, April–May 2014, Pages 16–29.
Highlights • I review the literature on human populations for multigenerational interstellar travel. • I find previous estimates might be possible but are risky over multiple generations. • I suggest space voyaging populations on the order of 20,000–40,000. • Other figures can be proposed providing they are safe through multiple generations.
Abstract
Designing interstellar starships for human migration to exoplanets requires establishing the starship population, which factors into many variables including closed-ecosystem design, architecture, mass and propulsion. I review the central issues of population genetics (effects of mutation, migration, selection and drift) for human populations on such voyages, specifically referencing a roughly 5-generation (c. 150-year) voyage currently in the realm of thought among Icarus Interstellar's Project Hyperion research group. I present several formulae as well as concrete numbers that can be used to help determine populations that could survive such journeys in good health. I find that previously proposed such populations, on the order of a few hundred individuals, are significantly too low to consider based on current understanding of vertebrate (including human) genetics and population dynamics. Population genetics theory, calculations and computer modeling determine that a properly screened and age- and sex-structured total founding population (Nc) of anywhere from roughly 14,000 to 44,000 people would be sufficient to survive such journeys in good health. A safe and well-considered Nc figure is 40,000, an Interstellar Migrant Population (IMP) composed of an Effective Population [Ne] of 23,400 reproductive males and females, the rest being pre- or post-reproductive individuals. This number would maintain good health over five generations despite (a) increased inbreeding resulting from a relatively small human population, (b) depressed genetic diversity due to the founder effect, (c) demographic change through time and (d) expectation of at least one severe population catastrophe over the 5-generation voyage.
Keywords
Multigenerational space travel; Space genetics; Space colonization; Space settlement
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Special Visitors!
Tuesday, June 14, 2016
Long Term Space Settlement
The recommendations set forth in the 2011 National Academy of Sciences Report,
Recapturing a Future for Space Exploration: Life and Physical Sciences Research for a New Era
call for reproductive and developmental biology research within and across generations. The
workshop participants uniformly agreed that, prior to embarking on multigenerational studies,
individual ‘milestones’ should be met for distinctive reproductive and developmental phases to
ensure success across these life stages. As depicted in the ‘Roadmap to Multigenerational
Studies’ an intermediary achievement will be a full mammalian life cycle in space, involving
successful mating, pregnancy, birth, lactation, suckling, weaning, and postnatal development to
adulthood. Work needs to be accomplished, starting now, in each of these areas, especially to
close knowledge gaps presented on page 23 of this report. In addition to ground-based efforts,
important project milestones could be achieved through a sequence of three validation flights
that will also address the specific goals of: (1) Breeding, (2) Birth through Weaning, and (3)
Multiple Generations. Multigenerational success is a repeating cycle of necessary milestones.
The capstone of these efforts will be the first breeding, birth and development of purely spacegrown
mammals opening the door to unique opportunities to investigate the role and influence of
gravity on a complex organism, the rodent.
I'm using these excellent guidelines in addressing these structuring stages for long-term space settlement planners, but also adding the important cultural elements of development missing from most space biology studies (at present, that is understandable). This approach will introduce space planners to the world of biocultural evolution, as investigated by the academic field of anthropology. Diagram below is a draft for my book in production, "Principles of Space Anthropology".